The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 31 January 2005

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Monday and Tuesday, Jan 31 and Feb 1. TX/OK: Cool wet conditions continue in the southern plains for the next couple of day. Daytime highs both days will be in the upper 30s in northern half of Oklahoma and the 40s in southern Oklahoma and Texas. Skies will be clousy with patchy fog and low to moderate winds from the north.Rain is likely both Monday and Tuesday especially in Texas.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau move to the south, southwest towards Mexico both Monday and Tuesday. Conditions at the sources will be cold and wet both days.  In addition atmospheric conditions are not particularly good for pollen entrainment and transport downwind.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Cloudy skies, low temperatures, and likelihood of rain will reduce the chance of any significant pollen release making for unfavorable conditions. In addition it is past the peak for mountain cedar pollen and poor atmospheric conditions exist for pollen entrainment With cold, wet conditions little release is expected and therefore a Low threat exists.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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