The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 11 January 2006

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Wed and Thurs, Jan 11 and 12. TX/OK: Warm-up today with temperatures running 20 degrees warmer than yesterday in some areas, especially in northern Oklahoma. Temperatures will be in the low 60s in Oklahoma and the low 70s in Texas. Skies will be clear with strong and gusty southerly winds. Nighttime lows will be in the upper 30s to upper 40s. On Thursday skies will be partly cloudy and temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than Wednesday; however, the next cold front will begin moving into the area and the winds will gradually shift to westerly and northwesterly in the afternoon. The weak cold front will push across the entire region on Friday

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the northeast over eastern to central Oklahoma and into Kansas and Missouri. The trajectories show good characteristics for entrainment and travel although pollen levels may be light due to the low morning temperatures. Trajectories on Thursday begin moving to the east and then southeast over Arkansas.

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate threat *** Conditions are good for pollen release today; however, morning temperatures were slow to warm up limiting pollen release to the afternoon. Also the severe drought throughout the region may reduce the pollen load this season.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

Return to Forecasting Home Page