The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 14 Jan 06

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Sat and Sun, Jan 14 and 15. TX/OK: Warm, windy conditions continue throughout the region on Saturday and Sunday. Daytime highs on Saturday will be in the 60s and nighttime lows in the mid to upper 40s. Sunday’s high temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy on Saturday and partly to mostly cloudy on Sunday. Strong and gusty southerly winds and dry conditions will be present throughout the weekend. A red flag fire watch is in effect for several counties in both states through Sunday afternoon. The next frontal system will move into the area on Monday bring a slight chance to precipitation to the area.


Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the north, northeast over central and eastern Oklahoma and southeast Missouri. The trajectories show good characteristics for entrainment and travel. Trajectories on Sunday show similar movement to the northeast with good characteristics for pollen transport. Weather at the source area will be warm Saturday afternoon after a cold morning. Favorable temperatures continue on Sunday.


OUTLOOK: *** High to Very High risk *** Conditions are good for pollen release today and better on Sunday; however, the severe drought throughout the region may have reduced the overall pollen load for the season.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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