The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 14 January 2006

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Sat and Sun, Jan 14 and 15. TX/OK: Warm, windy conditions continue throughout the region on Saturday and Sunday. Daytime highs on Saturday will be in the 60s and nighttime lows in the mid to upper 40s. Sunday’s high temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy on Saturday and partly to mostly cloudy on Sunday. Strong and gusty southerly winds and dry conditions will be present throughout the weekend. A red flag fire watch is in effect for several counties in both states through Sunday afternoon. The next frontal system will move into the area on Monday bring a slight chance to precipitation to the area.



Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau Texas move to the northeast today over north Texas and into Oklahoma. Sunday’s trajectories from the eastern side of the Plateau move northeast. Those from the western side of the Plateau move northeast during the day on Sunday but then shift to the east, southeast under the influence of the frontal system that will move into the area on Monday. Weather conditions at the source areas on Saturday and Sunday are favorable for pollen release and trajectories are conducive to pollen transport on Saturday. Sunday’s trajectories are mixed as the winds begin to shift around ahead of the frontal system.


OUTLOOK: *** High to Very high risk *** Weather conditions are favorable for pollen release this weekend, however, the severe drought throughout the region may have reduced the overall pollen load for the season.



Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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