The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 25 January 2006

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Wednesday and Thursday, Jan 25 and 26. TX/OK: Warm, mild conditions to continue in Oklahoma and Texas over the next couple of days. Temperatures on Wednesday will be in the 60s to low 70s throughout the region with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds graduately shifting to southerly. Overnight lows will be in the upper 30s and 40s. Daytime highs on Thursday will be in the upper 50s in the north to the upper 60s in the south with cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Gulf moisture should begin moving north on Thursday with increasing changes of badly needed preciptation on Friday.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from eastern side of the Edwards Plateau move to the west, northwest then curve to the north over west Texas, western Oklahoma and Kansas. The trajectories from the western side of the Plateau move to the north over western Oklahoma and Kansas. Trajectory show fair characteristics for transport. Temperatures at the source area are warm and mild today and tomorrow. Thursday's trajectories move north over west Texas, western Oklahoma and Kansas.

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High risk today *** Good conditions for pollen release at the source areas today and tomorrow. Trajectory characteristics are mostly favorable for pollen transport; however, the north, northwest direction of movement carries the pollen away from the major population centers of Texas. 

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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