The University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
Dallas/Fort Worth |
Moderate |
Austin |
High |
San Antonio |
Moderate |
Date Issued: 27 January 2006
Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional Weather: Friday and Saturday, Jan 27 and 28.
TX/OK: Warm temperatures and southerly winds continue in the Oklahoma, Texas region. Skies are cloudy and
humidities are up. There is a good chance of much needed precipitation in the region as a strong upper level system
moves through the area. The best chance of rain are Friday night and Saturday morning. Strong thunderstorms are
possible with this system. Temperatures on Friday range from the mid to upper 50s in Oklahoma to the mid 60s to
the low 70s in Texas. With the cloud cover the overnight lows will remain in the upper 40s to upper 50s in the
region. Highs on Saturday will range for the mid 60s to the mid 70s after the rain. Winds on Saturday will be moderate
from the southwest to west.
Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the
Edwards Plateau move to the north over central and west Texas, central and western Oklahoma and Kansas then turn
shift to the northeast. The trajectories show good characteristics for entrainment and travel of pollen downwind. Cloudy
skies will prevail across the region with mild temperatures and moderate to strong gusty winds. Saturday's trajectories
move to the east but show poor characteristics for pollen entrainment and travel. In addition, the likelihood of
rain in the region may reduce pollen release on Saturday. Forecasts will be updated tomorrow when we will know
more about the precipitation.
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat
today *** Good conditions
for pollen release. Cloudy skies with moderate winds and warm temperatures are good conditions for
pollen release today. Predicted rain tomorrow may eliminate the risk. We will update our forecasts on Saturday
morning.
Trajectory Start (s) (shown by *
on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.
AUSTIN
JUNCTION
SAN ANGELO
Prepared by: Estelle
Levetin (Faculty of Biological
Science, The University
of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released
Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time
of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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