The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 30 January 2007

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Tues and Wed, Jan 30 and 31. TX/OK: Another cold front moves into the region on Tuesday. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s in Oklahoma and from the mid 40s to the mid 50s in Texas with moderate to strong northerly winds. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy in Oklahoma and partly to mostly cloudy in Texas. Overnight lows will range from the upper teens to mid 20s in Oklahoma and the 30s in Texas. Temperatures on Wednesday will range from the low 30s to the upper 40s and winds will be from the south or southeast. There is an increasing chance of precipitation on Wednesday with the possibility of rain in Texas and snow in Oklahoma.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the southwest and then circle around western Oklahoma and head northeast. The trajectories show mixed characteristics for entrainment and travel. Conditions at the source are cold this morning and not likely to reach the favorable range this afternoon. Trajectories on Wednesday begin moving to the north then turn to back to the south and show poor characteristics for entrainment and travel. Conditions at the source will be cold tomorrow and unfavorable for pollen release

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat *** Low morning temperatures generally unfavorable for pollen release.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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