The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 3 February 2007

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Saturday, Feb 3. TX/OK: Cold conditions and partly cloudy skies across the region today with temperatures in the 30s in Oklahoma. In Texas, temperatures will range from the upper 40s to the upper 50s. Winds will be variable in Oklahoma and from the south or southwest in Texas. Overnight lows will be in the upper teens and 20s in Oklahoma and the 30s in Texas.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau Texas begin moving to the northeast and then curve to the east and back to the south. The trajectories show poor to moderate characteristics for entrainment and travel. Conditions at the source areas on the Plateau are cold this morning but will reach the favorable range by noon limiting pollen release to the afternoon hours.

OUTLOOK: *** Low to Moderate threat *** Cold morning temperatures will limit pollen release to the afternoon hours. Also we are nearing the end of the mountain cedar season further limiting the amount of pollen available for dispersal

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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