The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas/Fort Worth

Low to Moderate

Austin

Moderate to High

San Antonio

Moderate to High

 

Date Issued: 16 January 2008


Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas


Regional Weather: Wednesday, Jan 16. TX/OK: A cold front will move across the southern plains and Texas today and into Thursday. Temperatures today will be in the mid to upper 40s in Oklahoma but dropping as the front moves through the area. Skies will be cloudy and winds from the south, southeast shifting to the northwest as the front moves through the state. Chances of rain increase in the afternoon and evening possibly changing to snow or light freezing rain. Highs in Texas will range from the low 50s in the north to the low 60s in the south. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy throughout the state with winds light to moderate from the south but shifting to northwest tonight. Temperatures on Thursday will be much colder throughout the region.


Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau circle around central Texas with shifting winds as the cold front begins to move across the state. Temperatures at the source are will be in the favorable range but with high humidity in the eastern part of the Plateau. The trajectories show moderate conditions for downwind dispersal.


OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat today *** Moderately favorable conditions for pollen release today with conditions degrading overnight as the cold front moves through the region.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.


AUSTIN



JUNCTION



SAN ANGELO




Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104) and ) and Peter K Van de Water (Department of Earth and Environmental Science, California State University Fresno, 2576 East San Ramon Avenue, M/S ST24, Fresno CA 93740-8039). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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