The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 18 January 2010

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Monday, January 18 - TX/OK: Conditions across the region are mild with high temperatures in Oklahoma in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy with light to moderate southerly winds. Morning fog in parts of eastern Oklahoma should lift by noon. Lows tonight will be in the 40s with further warm up tomorrow into the mid to upper 60s. In Texas today the afternoons highs will be in the 60s with clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate south, southwest winds. Morning fog and drizzle will be apparent in south central parts of the area; however, skies are expected to clear in the afternoon. Lows tonight will range from the low 40s to the mid 50s across the area. Highs tomorrow are expected to be in the low to mid 70s with partly cloudy skies.

Trajectory weather: The trajectories from the Arbuckle Mounts move to the north this afternoon and evening over central Oklahoma and into Kansas on light to moderate winds. At the source area, early morning fog should clear by mid-morning. Temperatures will be warm with afternoon highs in the low 60s with clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Temperature will be moderate overnight tonight and warm up into the upper 60s tomorrow.

OUTLOOK: *** High Threat *** Mostly favorable conditions for pollen release today and good conditions for entrainment and transport. Warm temperatures but high humidity this morning. Skies should clear this afternoon resulting in better conditions for pollen release leading to high threat this afternoon and evening.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Davis, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 800 S. Tucker Dr., Tulsa, OK 74104) and Peter K Van de Water (Department of Earth and Environmental Science, California State University Fresno, 2576 East San Ramon Avenue, M/S ST24, Fresno CA 93740-8039). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

Return to Forecasting Home Page