The University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
Oklahoma City |
Low |
Tulsa |
Low |
St. Louis MO |
Low |
Date Issued: 3 February 2010
Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional Weather: Wednesday, February 2 – TX/OK:
Patchy fog or drizzle will be common this morning throughout the region and temperatures will continue below
normal. In Oklahoma clouds may clear this morning, they will move in again this afternoon and evening as the next
storm system approaches. Temperatures will be in the low 40s today and rain chances will increase later this afternoon
and evening. Winds will be light and from the east, southeast. Temperatures will be in the 30s overnight and in
most areas the cloud cover will keep temperatures above freezing. This should keep the precipitation liquid; however,
the chance of snow is in the forecast in western Oklahoma. Temperatures on Thursday will be in the 30s with rain
likely. In Texas today, highs will be in the upper 40s to low 50s with widespread rain. Winds will be light and
from the east this afternoon. Overnight lows will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Tomorrow, high temperatures in
Texas will be in the 40s with moderate winds from the north and continued widespread rain and thunderstorms.
Trajectory weather: Air mass trajectories from the Arbuckle Mountains move to the north and northwest over
western Oklahoma and into Kansas. At the source area today, afternoon temperatures will be in the 40s under partly
to mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. Rain is likely to move in later today and overnight lows will be in the
mid 30s. Rain chances continue tomorrow with temperatures near 40
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat today *** Poor conditions for pollen release today. Mostly
unfavorable conditions for atmospheric transport. Low temperatures, cloudy skies, and high humidity result
in unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Conditions will remain unfavorable tomorrow.
Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black
star on map): Davis, OK.
Prepared by: Estelle
Levetin
(Faculty
of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 800 S. Tucker Dr., Tulsa, OK 74104) and Peter
K Van de Water
(Department of Earth and Environmental Science, California State University Fresno, 2576 East San Ramon Avenue,
M/S ST24, Fresno CA 93740-8039). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen,
weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various
metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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