Date Issued: 12 January 1998
Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional weather: Tuesday, January 12 - TX/OK: Dissipating cold front to the north.......developing low pressure area right over the region today. Mostly cloudy OK....partly to mostly cloudy elsewhere.....warm today with highs in the 60's and 70's.....moderate to strong winds. Combined influence of high to the north and the low pressure moving to the east will force some colder air into the region tonight and Wednesday. Chance of light precipitation in some parts of OK and eastern TX tonight and Wednesday. Lows tonight 20's and 30's north and west.....40's and 50's south and east. Highs on Wednesday 30's and 40's OK.....50's and 60's TX.
Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy, high in the low 60's today. Mostly cloudy tonight with a chance of drizzle or light rain, possible freezing after midnight. Low in the low 30's. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers on Wednesday, high in the 50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** SERIOUS Threat *** Conditions are favorable for pollen release. Humidities are high but dropping ....in addition to warm temperatures and strong winds. Significant release expected....with High Risk of pollen transport towards the major population centers of Oklahoma. Susceptible residents of Oklahoma City can expect to feel some ill effects from today's release this afternoon. Ponca City, Tulsa, and other nearby areas are next on the list for this evening. Airborne pollen will turn back to the south with the chance of washout increasing as the night progresses. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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