Date Issued: 28 January 1998
Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional weather: Thursday, January 28 - TX/OK: Low pressure system located in the middle of the region today, moving slowly eastward during the next few days. Snow/ice likely panhandle areas.....rain likely north TX and OK.....good chance of showers/thunderstorms south and east TX. Highs ranging from 30's panhandles to 70's south and east TX. Rain likely tonight and Friday most areas....snow northwest. Lows tonight ranging from 30's north and west to 60's TX coast. Highs on Friday 30's northwest.....to 70's southeast TX.
Trajectory weather: Austin: Cloudy with a good chance of showers/thunderstorms, becoming likely by evening, high near 70. Rain likely tonight, changing to snow after midnight, low in the low 30's. Good chance of snow on Friday, high in the upper 20's. Junction/San Angelo: Cloudy with a chance of showers, becoming likely by late afternoon. High in the 60's. Occasional rain or snow tonight, low around 30. Snow showers Friday, high in the 30's.
Trajectory confidence: High.
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Now that we are nearing the end of the season, decreasing amounts of airborne pollen are expected. Mixed but mostly unfavorable conditions for pollen release today. Humidities are high with no sign of dropping and rain is likely. Little release expected. Some release is possible due to the favorable temperatures and moderate winds before the rain arrives. Affected areas will be extremely limited. Some residents of the Edwards Plateau region and west-central TX may feel some ill effects. Washout of any airborne pollen highly likely by the 00Z timepost (6pm local). TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX
Austin, TX
Junction, TX
San Angelo, TX
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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