2002-2003 Mountain Cedar Forecasts

Aerobiology Laboratory

The University of Tulsa


Thank you for your interest in our pollen forecasting web site. We have stopped the Mountain Cedar forecasts for 2002-2003. Our contacts in Texas indicate that most of the mountain cedar trees have stopped pollinating. The spring tree pollen season typically begins in early February in Texas and Oklahoma. Local eastern red cedar and elm have already started to pollinate along with other trees.

It is important to remember that mountain cedar pollen and eastern red cedar are closely related species. These have been reported to cross react. As a result patients allergic to mountain cedar may continue experience symptoms. However, eastern red cedar pollen is not considered as potent an allergen, so symptoms may be not as severe.

Check our Spring pollen pages for information on other pollen types. Although this was set up for eastern Oklahoma, most of the trees occur through the south central United States.


Forecasts for the Winter of 2002-2003

Forecasts for Dec 6-13, 2002

Forecasts for Dec 14-20, 2002

Forecasts for Dec 21-27, 2002

Forecasts for Dec 28-Jan 3, 2003

Forecasts for Jan 4-Jan 10, 2003

Forecasts for Jan 11-Jan 17, 2003

Forecasts for Jan 18-Jan 24, 2003

Forecasts for Jan 25-Jan 31, 2003




LONG DISTANCE TRANSPORT

Pollen from mountain cedar populations in southern Oklahoma and Texas is capable of traveling long distances over short periods of time along prevailing winds. Pollen from populations in the Edwards Plateau can be carried to Dallas, Tulsa, or even further north. Research in our lab has focused on identifying the meteorological conditions that are associated with long distance transport. Generally, pollen is transported on days that are warm and sunny with southerly winds. Our forecasts have been developed to provide an alert for patients sensitive to mountain cedar pollen. We will be offering forecasts at least three days a week during December and January. Forecasts are developed using the HY-SPLIT trajectory model, which comes from NOAA's Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) in Silver Spring, Maryland. On days when pollen is forecast for a particular area, sensitive individuals may wish to limit outdoor activities or take other measures suggested by their physician.


Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail:
pollen@utulsa.edu

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