|
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
|
Oklahoma City |
Low |
|
Tulsa |
Low |
|
St. Louis |
Low |
Date Issued: 19 January 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional weather: Friday - Sunday, January 19 - 21 - TX/OK/AR: Surface low pressure and upper-atmospheric energy moving off to the east. Some clouds and a chance of rain this morning for parts of central and eastern TX, otherwise dry across the region. Sunny to partly cloudy skies most areas and cloudiness in central and eastern TX will be dissipating this afternoon. Cold arctic air moving southward from the central Plains will envelop the region tonight and Saturday. Temperatures may be higher in some locations on Saturday with the increased sunshine, however. A weak system will clip the northeastern corner of the region Saturday night / Sunday morning, which may bring some flurries to northeast OK and northwest AR. Otherwise dry Saturday and Sunday. Highs 30's to 50's today, mostly 40's and 50's Saturday, 40's to 60's Sunday. Lows10's and 20's tonight, 20's and 30's Saturday night.
Trajectory weather: Partly to variably cloudy today, high in the 40's. Clear tonight, low in the low 30's. Sunny Saturday, high in the 50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Conditions are unfavorable for pollen release Friday through Sunday. Temperatures will not exceed the upper 30's today. Humidities remain high at midday. No pollen release expected today, with Low Risk of exposure. Saturday and Sunday.... forecast highs are in the low 40's both days, below the tolerance levels. In addition, moisture levels may be too high on Sunday as a quick-hitting system brushes the source region. No pollen release expected. Low Risk of exposure Saturday and Sunday. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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