|
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
|
Oklahoma City |
Low / Moderate |
|
Tulsa |
Low |
|
St. Louis |
Low |
Date Issued: 1 February 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional weather: Thursday, February 1 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure over the region. Cold front will swing through the northern and eastern parts of the region later today and tonight. Only clouds associated with the frontal passage; no rain expected. However, moisture is seeping into deep south and southeast TX. Mostly cloudy there today and tonight with a chance of rain mainly in the coastal bend and deep south TX. Highs today and Friday in the 40's and 50's. Lows tonight 10's and 20's north, 30's and 40's south.
Trajectory weather: Becoming partly cloudy, high in the mid-50's. Mostly clear tonight, low near 30. Mostly sunny on Friday, high in the mid-50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Conditions are mixed, generally favorable for pollen release today. Temperatures will top out in the low 50's near the source this afternoon, somewhat favorable for pollen release. Humidities have dropped into the tolerance range by midday and are favorable. Winds are mostly light. Some pollen release is expected. Moderate Risk of exposure for south-central and southeast OK this afternoon and evening. Low Risk for residents near the eastern TX state line after midnight tonight and Friday. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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